Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.703607 6.257841 6.866889 7.590418 8.432555 9.389336 10.569497
2024-10-20 4.691907 5.400252 6.237873 7.317981 8.699200 10.443456 12.876950
2024-10-27 4.131739 4.903651 5.861308 7.167386 8.954219 11.399229 15.169673
2024-11-03 3.764255 4.572880 5.613920 7.098482 9.245916 12.395092 17.717368
2024-11-10 3.632162 4.516524 5.698619 7.464587 10.177401 14.478576 22.590012
2024-11-17 3.451176 4.369646 5.633981 7.594771 10.761058 16.132326 27.339457
2024-11-24 3.223854 4.135234 5.416922 7.460500 10.888195 17.020984 30.939955
2024-12-01 3.042323 3.948736 5.248631 7.375379 11.073668 18.045046 35.299419
2024-12-08 2.864405 3.753305 5.048459 7.212829 11.092052 18.740671 39.213654
2024-12-15 2.737040 3.622148 4.933420 7.174673 11.325397 19.929193 45.168399
2024-12-22 2.625374 3.506307 4.831725 7.145706 11.567735 21.197470 52.273875
2024-12-29 2.564743 3.462614 4.838611 7.303207 12.198741 23.550256 65.250681
2025-01-05 2.409535 3.272965 4.610048 7.040353 11.977906 23.866564 71.308032
2025-01-12 2.269912 3.101541 4.402475 6.801309 11.785194 24.252702 78.588497
2025-01-19 2.163019 2.974901 4.259361 6.666441 11.796783 25.216432 90.439836
2025-01-26 2.078833 2.879126 4.160636 6.604545 11.961395 26.696771 108.407938
2025-02-02 2.068302 2.899499 4.258937 6.933217 13.101082 31.763500 168.836689
2025-02-09 2.023145 2.860737 4.251513 7.049889 13.753580 35.607664 243.154297
2025-02-16 1.945115 2.763802 4.134893 6.929553 13.774013 37.113067 301.286276
2025-02-23 1.879163 2.683750 4.043454 6.853208 13.900293 39.154587 394.268885
2025-03-02 1.807739 2.591382 3.924481 6.707292 13.811836 40.259018 488.276490
2025-03-09 1.756476 2.530705 3.859750 6.673016 14.035137 42.972878 708.438601
2025-03-16 1.709521 2.475233 3.801300 6.646990 14.279955 46.009967 1113.820584